Yeah was about to post this. The size of the game suggests that more than two cops is unlikely. It's possible that there is no legit cop, though that would be rather cruel from morgie.
I'm going to hold off until morning to give everyone a chance to contribute, at which point I'll NL if there's no further clues.
I'd be inclined to lynch today given we've likely got a mislynch unless Morgie's made this a really anti-town setup.
You're saying we should lynch today because it'll probably be a mislynch? Not sure I follow. Either way doesn't look like anyone other than morgie's provided any real information to go off yet.
Yeah, the insane cop dying does make it far more likely that any future reports can be taken at face value but an insane cop is as useful as a normal cop once you realise they’re insane. Not the most ideal role to lose NO. I get Lukic’s point that we can afford a RL but, assuming there’s only one kill per night, the same will be true at a later point too - when hopefully we’ll have more information and/or a better chance of hitting maf - another town death increases the chances of hitting Maf on a RL. No lynch is the best option still. Just because you can afford a RL doesn’t mean you should RL.
RL is almost always useless. After the mislynch people start misreading into who led the lynch and all sorts of posting behaviour analysis all which just gives mafia room to obfuscate.
Could still be paranoid cop and naive cop out there, perhaps. Seems unlikely in a game this size, I grant you.
I said that it was assuming there was only one night kill. Currently 7:3:1 N1 kill means we'll be 6:3:1 (assuming no doc save or roleblock) Mislynch will take us to 5:3:1 Night 2 kill would take us to 4:3:1 So we can afford to mislynch tomorrow in that scenario; with an extra night's worth of reports and a 4/10 chance of hitting non-town rather than 4/11.
Well it could theoretically be 1:5:5 in which case it'd be theoretically impossible for me to mislynch anyone. My assumption was it's going to be similar to/the same as one of the CW Maf games.
Hmmmm, very interesting from Marcuss there. 3 mafia isn't the most unreasonable assumption based on number balancing, but assuming there is only 1 third party despite there often being more than 1 and it being pluralised/implied in the first post that more than 1 might be running around? Kind of suss there. Definitely feel he has more info then he is letting on/potentially trying to mislead some numbers.
That doesn't make sense to me as I doubt either the Maf or 3P themselves would know exactly how much of each there are in the game. As I said, I made an assumption based on the games morgie, I and others had played recently on CW. I've got no info, hence the early NL vote.
A 3rd party team of two who were in communication with each other (such as cultists) would know that there are more than 1 3rd party running around though... I think it's much more likely that if you're suss that you'd be 3rd party rather than mafia, but can we really trust anyone with their own agenda? 3rd parties (particularly if it's a cult-esque situation) can really fuck Town down the road.
Nice try. As I said before, the first post suggests that there may be multiple 3rd party members in play (Third Parties have their own win conditions) so I just find it very interesting that you stated that there was only 1 in play.