Pick 'n' Gos

Discussion in 'Seasonal Rugby' started by HeathDavisSpeed, Mar 15, 2012.

  1. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    At the request of Frizzed, I've had a look at the calculations for open play moves - which include Pick 'n' Gos.

    I don't think the calculation is wrong per se - it's certainly doing what I programmed it to do, however there are a couple of issues.

    Firstly, when it decides who will be doing the pick and go, it's weighted towards players with a good combination of Strength and Speed. Whilst I don't think this is wrong, given the comparative post rank of Back Rowers in most teams compared to their Front Rowers, it tends to calculate that a Back Rower will be doing the work more often. Whilst this probably isn't particularly unrealistic, maybe the weighting between Strength and Speed could be moved. Basically, at the moment the sim would pick Humble or Boobidy more often than Benny or Frizzed. For the Spartans, any back rower would be selected more often than 99* or Storer, but Eggman would be right up there in the mix.

    I'm loathe to change things mid season that could impact on the calculations and outcomes, but point 2 makes me wonder if it's worth doing...

    Point 2 is that Pick 'n' Gos are rolled up in all other open play moves. This means that to the layman looking at the output, you wouldn't be able to tell a pick 'n' go from a normal open play move. This also means that when the sim produces commentary, it doesn't have any pick 'n' go specifics in there.

    If I changed this (which would be quite a significant change) I could probably add some pick 'n' go statistics too - well, at least the number of pick 'n' gos by player.

    Thoughts?
     
  2. Eds E Ames

    Think it's a must at some point.

    Your choice whether we do it mid-season. Would probably make more sense to do it at the end of the season.
     
  3. Callum CJ Laing

    Am I correct in saying Point 2 wouldn't actually change anything except the output?
     
  4. Notsure SM Green

    I think you should definitely change it. May as well do it now as we're only a few games into the season.
     
  5. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    Yeah, but from my perspective #2 requires significantly more work, but I wouldn't change #1 without also changing #2.
     
  6. BoyBlunder BOY Blunder

    Do it at the end of the season imo, should keep the simulator concistent in a season.

    Saying that pick n gos is something I should never do as a player so probably im not the best person to ask
     
  7. Howe JHF Howe

    I can't see any harm more detail.

    Though, from a Crabs pov, I'd rather you left it.
     
  8. Eddie EI Morris

    Do it at the end of the season IMO.

    Also I don't think Speed is that important for pick and go's.
     
  9. Luffers JRE Luffman

    Good inclusion for the end of the season, keep it consistent and go with the old sim for this season and the new sim for next.
     
  10. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    I've had a look at it, and I know what needs to be done. I need to come up with a pick 'n' go likelihood formula that's a bit more realistic. Probably something where strength cubed + speed *0.5 + crash ball or something like that. Something which makes props come out highest, then back rowers, then locks but still leaves an outside chance that a crash ball focused centre would attempt a pick and go.

    I'd probably then split open play moves into two - open play and pick and go. Which would probably double the length of the existing formulas which are already like this:

    =IF(B720="","",IF(B711="Hurricanes",((VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$3:$AE$18,9,FALSE)+VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$3:$AE$18,10,FALSE)+VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$3:$AE$18,14,FALSE))*VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$4:$AE$18,22,FALSE)),IF(B711="Spartans",((VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$24:$AE$38,9,FALSE)+VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$24:$AE$38,10,FALSE)+VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$24:$AE$38,14,FALSE))*VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$24:$AE$38,22,FALSE)),IF(B711="Sharks",((VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$44:$AE$58,9,FALSE)+VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$44:$AE$58,10,FALSE)+VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$44:$AE$58,14,FALSE))*VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$44:$AE$58,22,FALSE)),IF(B711="Vikings",((VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$64:$AE$78,9,FALSE)+VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$64:$AE$78,10,FALSE)+VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$64:$AE$78,14,FALSE))*VLOOKUP(C719,'Squads'' Players Stats'!$A$64:$AE$78,22,FALSE)),"Error")))))

    Now, I'm not sure if Excel 2007 has a formula length restriction but older versions did (which I'm already well past). Otherwise, I might need to change my data tables which would be a massive undertaking.

    Doable though.
     
  11. Speirz DG Speirs

    In Excel 2007, the maximum length of formula contents is 8,192 characters and the maximum internal formula length is 16,384 bytes.
     
  12. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    Plenty to play with then. Perfect.
     
  13. Jabba HJ Bots

    usually the person who pick and gos is a combination of likely hood to go foward (irrespective of defenders) and potential to force the defensive team to commit numbers and give up width out wide. If the latter is on then almost anyone will pick and go irrespective of how good they are, aslong as the likelyhood to retain ball and get quick ball is there to be had.
     
    Last edited: Mar 15, 2012
  14. Benny BS Read

    Great planned addition to the sim.
     
  15. Baxter MJ Deane

    Think #2 should definitely happen and no reason why it shouldn't happen now considering that we changed the stats output halfway through last season with the addition of line breaks IIRC.
     
  16. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    Except #2 is a much larger undertaking than adding in LBAs. Would probably delay simming for at least a couple of weeks.
     
  17. Tartmaster AJ James

    Do it for next season IMO.
    I would have no problems with #2 coming in now but if that's a fair bit of work may as well do it all together for next season.
     
  18. Roaddogg AJ Izett

    yeah wait till next season to do it
     

Share This Page