Brownlow Betting

Discussion in 'Betting, Tipping and Fantasy' started by Skippos, Sep 20, 2012.

  1. Skippos SM Morgan

    I'm actually thinking Hamish hartlett. he had two absolute best ons and some pretty striking performances - his ball use is magnificent and the umpires look at that

    Ebert

    1 - 1/3 - probably 2
    3 - 1 maybe
    7 - 1 maybe
    9 - 1/3 - probably 2
    10 - 1/2 - probably 1
    11 - 1 maybe
    22 - 1 maybe

    minimum of 4, potentially 9 but most likely 6

    Boak

    4 - 1 maybe
    9 - 1 maybe
    15 - 1 maybe
    17 - 1, maybe 2 or 3 if lucky
    20 - 1 maybe
    22 - 1 maybe

    minimum of 2, potentially 8 but most likely 4


    Hartlett

    1 - should be 3
    3 - outside chance at 1
    4 - outside chance at 1
    6 - should get 1
    10 - pencil in 3
    19 - 1 or 2 aren't unlikely

    minimum of 5, maximum of 11 most likely 6/7
     
  2. Skippos SM Morgan

    and re: swallow/harvey - no option provides any value.
     
  3. Skippos SM Morgan

    so far I'm up 175 for the weekend - the 1.10 bets cancelled out the 50 dollar ones with the 250 and 200 bets winning (assuming Norwood don't go from being 52-17 up with 15 to play in the last to losing)



    50 on Adelaide -39.5 @6.60

    500 on Adelaide +78.5 > Hawthorn @1.10
    250 on Adelaide +63.5 > Hawthorn @1.30 (I believe) - I made this when I saw Hodge out
    500 on Collingwood +46.5 > Sydney @1.10

    50 on Collingwood +15.5 @3.80

    200 on Norwood to beat West @1.50



    I'm yet to make my final brownlow bets aside from the Callan Ward one and the trifecta ones. The ones below are the prospective ones I'd suggested. I think I'll ditch the rich, thinking about ditching the bartel one and adding a redden for brisbane one (I don't think Rockliff will get it). Sylvia I think I'll keep and I'll probably keep the GC ones. Think I'll chuck a little bit on Hartlett for Port too. No matter what - I can't lose for the weekend which is good for the footy. Had 100 on the Doggies last night too so it's even better, 200 up so far and I'm shit at footy betting :fap:

    20 on Callan Ward - GWS @4.00
    5 on each trifecta of Kennedy/Swan/Thompson @1001

    5 on Daniel Rich - Brisbane @18.00
    5 on Simon Black - Brisbane @6.00
    5 on Colin Sylvia - Melbourne @21.00
    5 on Dean Cox - West Coast @10.00
    5 on Jimmy Bartel - Geelong without Selwood @11.00
    5 on EACH of Prestia (13.00), Swallow (14.00), Iles (16.00), Stanley (16.00), May (26.00) - Gold Coast without Ablett/Bennell (if anyone sees a site that quotes Brennan as an option here I'd love to hear it)
     
  4. PaulFromOz PF Oz

    What's the trifecta one, they finish 1,2,3rd or they all finish first and share the brownlow?
     
  5. Skippos SM Morgan

    1/2/3 in exact order.
     
  6. MatthewJay TA Miokovic

    Had a look at GWS today, don't reckon Greene will poll well at all and I'm fairly confident Giles should outpoll Ward, but there's a good chance they'll tie.

    What happens if they tie? Both pay out or winnings get halved?
     
  7. MatthewJay TA Miokovic

    $2.15
     
  8. MatthewJay TA Miokovic

    Kennedy to get 21.5+ is $1.87, Swan is $1.75 on the same line. Will multi these if I can, but if the TAB are being fags about it I'll split it.

    Cothin under 27.5 is $1.65 and I reckon is a lock, but I don't want to bet against Cotchin aha.
     
  9. Skippos SM Morgan

    yeah the cotch one is a given, IMO
     
  10. PaulFromOz PF Oz

    I like that bet.
     
  11. Skippos SM Morgan

    yeah. there are 6 possibilities so betting on them all essentially means it's $165 odds for those three to be the top three
     
  12. MatthewJay TA Miokovic

    Reckon I'll add it in.

    FMD the new TAB website shits me, it's so fucking slow.
     
  13. MatthewJay TA Miokovic

    Mulit's are available. Will get on Cotch under/Swan over/Kennedy over.
     
  14. Mousey AJ Son

    Heading down tomorrow for sure. Diggler, fuck the basketball.
     
  15. PaulFromOz PF Oz

    Heading down where Mousey, Crown?
     
  16. morgieb MC Burridge

    Carn Kennedy!

    But as I said, reckon Thompson will win. They won't give it to someone out of the Top 8 though.
     
  17. Mousey AJ Son

    TAB.

    @Paulie
     
    Last edited: Sep 23, 2012
  18. MASTERS S Masters

    same here, wanna get some multis happening
     
  19. MatthewJay TA Miokovic

    Selwood/Hawkins/Bartel ?
     
  20. Alex AJ O'Driscoll

    Tab won't let you multi for club only results.
     

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