I've chucked the 500 I got back tonight on the crows +78.5 > Hawthorn @ 1.10 I'm slightly nervous but logic says its safe as houses. It's always nice getting a random 1700 dollar commission pay from a job you left 4 months ago and didn't know it was coming. inb4 i waste it all.
Doubt it. Really do. It's finals football, a preliminary final and the first and second teams from the final. It's also worth noting that the crows actually have a better midfield (mitchell/hodge/sewell/hale < thompson/dangerfield/sloane/jacobs (this year)) so it's not like the ball's going to be constantly won and going straight into the forward line. I just think winning by 79 in a prelim is so, so unheard of.
the big ones? essentially you just get to pick your own line and they give you odds for it. I've chosen Adelaide + 78.5 > Hawthorn so essentially, Adelaide are getting a 78.5 point head start.
Some lad who's won three million on the brownlow over the last few years spoke at an afl function. he claimed ablett was categorically zero chance of winning and watson/cotchin are the real contenders. it's created a betting plunge - big time. watson/mitchell quinella down from 51 to 13 etc.
Without doing research - Ebert. He had some excellent games at the start of the season when Port were competitive. Boak - aside from some late games doesn't scream any votes to me. I'll check in depth when I get home though, as Ebert isn't the votewinning type.
Yeah, I would have said Ebert too, and you might get some good odds on him because people rate Boak highly.
Not sure about Cotchin anymore. He's a fucking gun and can turn a game with 25 disposals, but his start if the season was as good as the back end so he may be a little over-hyped. Put money on Deledio for most Richmond votes if Cothin does flop.
I had a long look and got Ebert 5-9 and Boak 5-7. Will get on Ebert if I go TAB tomorrow. Harvey or Swallow most for North? Really undecided.
Have money on: -Dane Swan to win -Dane Swan top 5 -Winner to poll 29.5+ (reckon this should be a lock) -Giles for most at GWS -Deledio for most at Richmond -